Sunday, August 07, 2011

NIFTY LEVELS FROM YEAR 2000 TO YEAR 2017

WE HAVE GOT THE CHARTS FOR 12 YEARS WITH MAJOR LEVELS OF SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE FOR NIFTY. WE HAV SHARED THESE NIFTY LEVELS WITH OUR PERSONAL CLIENTS IN JAN'2008 WHEN NIFTY FALL IS ABOUT TO COME.
THIS IS HOW WE SEE NIFTY TILL 2017:

FEBRUARY 2000: 1982 RESISTANCE
APRIL 2003         :   920 SUPPORT
JANUARY 2004  : 2015 RESISTANCE
MAY 2004           : 1292 SUPPORT
MAY 2006           : 3774 RESISTANCE
JUNE 2006          : 2596 SUPPORT
JANUARY 2008  : 6350 RESISTANCE
OCTOBER 2008 : 2250 SUPPORT
JULY 2009          : 4500 RESISTANCE
WINTER 2009    : 3300 SUPPORT
WINTER 2010    : 6400 RESISTANCE
MAY 2011          : 5000 SUPPORT
JANUARY 2013 : 10900 RESISTANCE
MAY 2014          :   6400 SUPPORT
2016/2017           : 20200 RESISTANCE

THERE MAY BE SOME TIME VARIATION IN THOSE NIFTY LEVELS BUT THE VALUES R MORE OR LESS CERTAIN TO HAPPEN.

38 years cycle is the first business cycle in the history of global power. Usually the full cycle lasts for 240 years. However, the first cycle is extremely robust which propels the economy in new territory.After this cycle a massive crash can be expected but recovery will soon follow and second cycle will be much longer but economic growth rate will slow down compared to present.

This cycle of 38 years comes once in many centuries. Usually, this cycle propels the low or middle economy into next round of sustained growth. For INDIA it started form 1981 and will last till about 2020. Similar, 38 years cycles can be traced for other economies:

England: From 1868 to 1906.
USA : From 1891 to 1929
Japan: From 1951 to 1989
India: From 1981 to 2020

Markets just looks for an excuse to rise or fall. Government may come and go but Nifty targets for next 12 years are pre-determined and almost certain to happen. So are Dow Jones level which may touch 39000 in 12 years time in line with Nifty Levels. HAPPY INVESTING!

NIFTY RALLY FROM 2008 TO 2010 BASED ON ELLIOT WAVE - (POSTED ON 12.02.11)

ON 12.02.11 WE HAD POSTED THAT ON WEEKLY CHARTS WE R NOW GIVING THE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS WHICH STARTED WITH WAVE-1 FROM A LOW OF 2539.45 ON 08.03.2009 TO A HIGH OF 4693.20 ON 14.06.09, WAVE-2 THEN ENDS AT A LOW OF 3918.75 ON 19.07.2009, WAVE-3 MADE AN INTERMEDIATE HIGH AT 6338.50 ON 07.11.2010.

WE STRONGLY BELIEVE THAT NIFTY SHOULD NOT BREAK THE LEVEL OF 5000. EVERY ANALYIST ON THE STREET IS EXTREMELY BEARISH AT PRESENT, AS THEY WERE BULLISH WHEN NIFTY WAS AT 6300.

WE BELIEVE THAT WE R IN WAVE-3 WHICH SHOULD PEAK AROUND 7500 LEVELS. 
(WE HAVE POSTED THE AFORESAID ANALYSIS ON 12.02.11 AND OUR LOWER TARGET OF 5000 IS HOLDING SINCE LAST 6MONTHS WHEREAS ALL THE ANALYIST ON THE STREET WERE BEARISH IN FEB'2011 AND WERE GIVING DOWNSIDE TARGETS OF EVEN 4000 IN THE COMING MONTHS. WE HOPE OUR UPWARDS ALSO MEET IN THE COMING MONTHS)

NIFTY RALLY FROM 2003 TO 2008 BASED ON ELLIOT WAVE - (POSTED ON 12.02.11)

 WE HAVE GIVEN THE COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS OF THE BULL RALLY FROM 2003 TO 2008. CHART OF WAVE-1, WAVE-2, WAVE-3, WAVE-4, WAVE-5 R ENCLOSED FOR UR CONVENIENCE. CLICK ON THE CHARTS AND SEE THE DETAILS.
 ON WEEKLY CHARTS WAVE-1 STARTED FROM A LOW OF 920 ON 04.05.2003 TO A HIGH OF 2014.65 ON 11.01.04, WAVE-2 ENDS AT A LOW ON 23.05.2004 OF 1292.20, WAVE-3 ENDS WITH A HIGH OF 3774.15 ON 14.05.2006, WAVE-4 ENDS AT A LOW OF 2595.65 ON 18.06.2006, WAVE-5 THEN ENDS AT A HIGH OF 6357.10 ON 13.01.2008. THEN CORRECTIVE WAVE OF A,B,C, STARTED WHICH ENDS AT 2252.75 ON 02.11.2008.