Return of 500% in just 5 years.: December 15, 2010

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

HUGE OPPORTUNITY IN BANKING SECTOR

BEST BUYS IN BANKING SECTOR R:

1. HDFC BANK
2. CENTRAL BANK OF INDIA.
3. ALLAHABAD BANK.
4. STATE BANK OF INDIA
5. BANK OF BARODA
6. YES BANK
7. KARUR VYSYA BANK
8. AXIS BANK

RAAM DEO AGRAWAL IS BULLISH ON BANKING SECTOR. ACCORDING TO HIM "The way we are thinking is that in the last 10 years, the total saving in the economy was about USD 2.25 trillion between 2000 and 2010. Between 2011 and 2020 the total savings will be upwards of USD 12 trillion. This particular number is very large almost 5 times bigger. Now when you have this kind of opportunity and banking being the first landing point of all the Indian savings, what happens is that banking opportunity explodes in disproportionate size.

Private sector banks are small right now. The PE multiples are not matching with what it could be. Then you will have a third layer of opportunity in terms of PE multiples. Which of the banks will win in 2020 in this kind of opportunity, hence, the downside will be limited and upside could be 10-15-20 times for the right kind of bets. There a big opportunity in banking sector for next 10 years".

THEREFORE, BANKING SECTOR IS A BUY IN EVERY DECLINE.

BACK TESTING OF THE STRATEGY OF INVESTING SINCE 01.01.05

NOW WE HAVE BACK TESTED OUR STRATEGY OF INVESTING FROM 01.01.05 TO TILL DATE. WE R HOWEVER, DOING ACTUAL TRADES ACCORDING TO OUR STRATEGY SINCE 24.12.07 BUT JUST OUT OF CURIOUSITY WE HAVE BACK TESTED IT FROM 01.01.05. THE RESULTS R PHENOMENAL. THE RETURN OF OVER 70% P.A. GETS CONFIRMED FROM 01.01.05 TO 15.12.10. CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE FILE. NOW U CAN URSELF DECIDE WHETHER U R INTERESTED IN OUR STRATEGY OR NOT!

BINGO! UFLEX REACHED OUR FOURTH TARGET OF 208

ON 14.12.10 WE RECOMMENDED THE NEXT TARGETS FOR UFLEX R 198 AND 208. OUR FOURTH TARGET OF 208 ACHIEVED TODAY. BINGO! NOW NEXT TARGETS R 218 AND 228.

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Trading in stock market is very risky. Please analyze yourself what is your risk profile. This blog is not perfect. This is not an advisory service to buy or sell. The contents of “this blog” are only for educational purposes. No liability is accepted for any content in this blog.

The author is not a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time. While he believes his statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of his own credible sources. The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and that you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments

SGRG – SIP: BE THE MASTER OF YOUR OWN DESTINY

Welcome to the World of S.I.P. (Systematic investment Plan).

Thanks to the massive amount of time, money and efforts put in by the Mutual Fund Industry over the years, investors are now very much aware of this technique of investing.

Lets revisit the logic of SIP. We call it SGRG-SIP.

In a SIP you invest a fixed sum at a particular interval ( say a month) over a given period of time. In SGRG-SIP, instead of choosing a regular MF scheme, we decide an Index Benchmark, which can be NIFTYBEeS, JUNIORBEeS, GOLDBeS, BANKBEeS depending upon your risk profile.

Disciplined Approach

The first benefit of a SGRG-SIP is that you imbibe discipline in your investments. On a given date of every month you buy the pre-decided index Benchmark. However, the amount to be invested every month keeps on changing i.e. It will be communicated by us every month. You don’t really apply your mind whether to buy or not. Just go ahead and do it.

Don’t worry about the timing

Let me choose the worst possible month in recent history – January 2008 I Hope everybody remember this month.

So we baptize you with fire, by making you begin investing from 26^th December, 2007, a sum of Rs 25,000 every month on the last day of the month. This you religiously do every month for 36 months i.e. 25^th Decemeber, 2010.

Lets see how the Nifty faired. The Nifty that was 6070 on 26^th December 2007 closed on December 26^th 2010 at 6013. This is a fall of 0.94%. And say you like Reliance a lot. The price of Reliance on 01.01.08 was 1445 and on 01.03.12 it was 811 down -43.80% over a period of 3 years.

But our’s SGRG-SIP in Index benchmark’s actually gave A WHOPPING Annualised Return of over 50% p.a. during the same period.

What we mean to say is since, we cannot track the working and performance of each and every scrip, when you fundamentally like a stock, you should like the stock more if the price falls, other things being same. But human psychology will ensure that you get jitters when the price falls. And expecting that the price will fall further you don’t buy. A further fall in price will validate your fears and you would wait for a still larger dip. One fine day the stock will bounce back, leaving you in a frown.

But a SGRG-SIP will ensure that your fear does not come in the way of your investment. This ability of SGRG-SIP to systematically buy Index Benchmarks at all levels ensures good returns in a volatile market. So honour the sanctity of a SIP.

Power of Compounding

The power of compounding will ensure that even small investments in early part of life will leave a giant footprint over a longer period of time. You don’t really have to save big. The stress is not on the amount, but on the need to start early. And even if you have lost considerable time, don’t worry. Today is a good day to begin ! Let us also dispel a myth that SGRG-SIP is only for beginners or for small investors. Nothing stops you from allocating even large sums for SGRG-SIP. In fact experienced investors would find it more useful.

SOME REAL FACTS ABOUT SGRG–SIP

PRICE	S&P	JUNIOR	BANK	GOLD	SILVER
	NIFTY	NIFTY	NIFTY	SPOT	SPOT
01.01.05	4484	2080	3531	6301	10415
01.12.10	9095	5871	11988	29035	55900
% P.A.	15%	26%	34%	52%	62%
SGRG %P.A.	58%	399%	679%	1201%	10000%

Here are some real facts about our SGRG – SIP. We have compared the prices of some of the Indexes and Top Commodities in the World market since 1^st Januray, 2005. Here also you will appreciate that SGRG –SIP outforms all the asset class mentioned below by 100% at least.

Be the master of your own fortunes.Write your own success story. Choose your own Index Benchmark, which you will be investing over a period of time. Since your returns will be function of what asset class you choose, ensure that you put in serious efforts in terms of understanding what you are investing in. Ensure that the Index Benchmark you choose match your risk stance and return expectations.